Pre-tourney Rankings
San Diego
West Coast
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#263
Expected Predictive Rating-6.1#256
Pace65.8#282
Improvement+2.5#77

Offense
Total Offense-7.3#325
First Shot-6.3#318
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#251
Layup/Dunks-3.8#321
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#151
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#199
Freethrows-2.1#303
Improvement-1.0#235

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#146
First Shot-0.5#187
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#43
Layups/Dunks+4.0#30
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#347
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#58
Freethrows-2.2#312
Improvement+3.5#26
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 41   @ USC L 45-83 4%     0 - 1 -24.2 -25.0 +3.1
  Nov 17, 2015 184   @ Western Michigan L 62-74 23%     0 - 2 -10.4 -4.1 -7.4
  Nov 21, 2015 268   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 55-67 40%     0 - 3 -15.6 -15.0 -1.8
  Nov 25, 2015 175   Loyola Chicago L 57-67 30%     0 - 4 -10.8 -8.4 -3.3
  Nov 27, 2015 248   San Jose St. L 67-76 45%     0 - 5 -14.0 -3.1 -11.2
  Nov 28, 2015 230   Drexel W 62-59 41%     1 - 5 -1.1 -7.0 +6.2
  Dec 06, 2015 53   San Diego St. W 53-48 8%     2 - 5 +14.8 -1.9 +17.4
  Dec 09, 2015 191   Denver L 47-59 44%     2 - 6 -16.8 -25.9 +8.3
  Dec 15, 2015 235   UC Davis W 61-55 54%     3 - 6 -1.4 -7.0 +5.8
  Dec 23, 2015 238   Cal St. Northridge W 81-63 55%     4 - 6 +10.5 +8.9 +2.3
  Dec 31, 2015 218   @ Pacific L 75-77 29%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -2.6 -0.2 -2.3
  Jan 02, 2016 39   @ St. Mary's L 46-79 4%     4 - 8 0 - 2 -19.1 -19.8 -1.9
  Jan 07, 2016 202   San Francisco L 65-73 47%     4 - 9 0 - 3 -13.5 -13.4 -0.2
  Jan 09, 2016 232   Santa Clara L 53-65 54%     4 - 10 0 - 4 -19.2 -14.8 -6.5
  Jan 14, 2016 203   @ Portland W 82-71 27%     5 - 10 1 - 4 +11.1 +1.2 +9.1
  Jan 16, 2016 27   @ Gonzaga L 52-88 3%     5 - 11 1 - 5 -19.6 -12.3 -8.6
  Jan 21, 2016 129   @ Pepperdine L 58-76 14%     5 - 12 1 - 6 -12.7 -10.0 -3.4
  Jan 23, 2016 208   @ Loyola Marymount L 63-67 28%     5 - 13 1 - 7 -4.2 -4.1 -0.5
  Jan 28, 2016 129   Pepperdine L 65-75 29%     5 - 14 1 - 8 -10.5 -6.9 -3.8
  Jan 30, 2016 208   Loyola Marymount W 77-69 49%     6 - 14 2 - 8 +2.0 +1.1 +1.0
  Feb 04, 2016 218   Pacific W 54-43 51%     7 - 14 3 - 8 +4.6 -13.3 +19.5
  Feb 06, 2016 39   St. Mary's L 43-60 10%     7 - 15 3 - 9 -9.0 -23.2 +11.8
  Feb 11, 2016 232   @ Santa Clara L 71-74 32%     7 - 16 3 - 10 -4.4 -2.7 -1.7
  Feb 13, 2016 202   @ San Francisco L 51-68 26%     7 - 17 3 - 11 -16.7 -23.4 +6.3
  Feb 18, 2016 50   BYU L 67-69 11%     7 - 18 3 - 12 +5.4 -3.9 +9.3
  Feb 20, 2016 50   @ BYU L 33-91 5%     7 - 19 3 - 13 -44.7 -34.3 -9.1
  Feb 25, 2016 27   Gonzaga L 60-82 7%     7 - 20 3 - 14 -11.4 -10.5 -0.3
  Feb 27, 2016 203   Portland W 85-76 48%     8 - 20 4 - 14 +3.3 +0.4 +2.2
  Mar 04, 2016 208   Loyola Marymount L 61-64 38%     8 - 21 -6.1 -12.1 +5.9
Projected Record 8.0 - 21.0 4.0 - 14.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%